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I've done ten simulations on All-Madden mode with updated rosters for the first four games of today's slate. https://imgur.com/a/BjI9g3h Jets ML worked out well yesterday, then I got fried by the Raiders. Anyone got any leans today?
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Has anyone else noticed that the teaser section on the bet slip no longer appears when selecting spread and/or oveunder? Perhaps I am just selecting something incorrectly? Hoping that Bovada did not remove this as a betting option. Any advice appreciated, thanks!
What Vegas Odds tell us about expected Draft Capital (Wide Receivers)
The purpose of this post is to use Vegas Odds on Draft Props to establish where/when the popular Wide Receivers are most likely going to go. For this post I used odds from Bovada's NFL Draft Props. . 2020 NFL Draft - First Wide Receiver Drafted Jerry Jeudy +120 (45.5% Chance) CeeDee Lamb +125 (44.4% Chance) Henry Ruggs +300 (25% Chance) Tee Higgins +5000 (2% Chance) Justin Jefferson +5000 (2% Chance) KJ Hamler +6600 (1.5% Chance) Note that odds add up to over 100% because Vegas likes to make money Nothing shocking here. We can see here that Vegas agrees with the consensus best Wide Receivers in the class (Jeudy/Lamb). Followed by next best consensus speedster Ruggs. Interestingly Tee Higgins is still considered in elite tier of wide receivers after a poor Combine, and falling down fantasy/draft boards everywhere. Great prospect 2020 NFL Draft - Total Wide Receivers Drafted in Round 1 Over 5.5 Wide Receivers taken -155 (60.8% Chance) Under 5.5 Wide Receivers taken 115 (46.5% Chance) This is potentially the most hyped Wide Receiver class ever (Until next years class at least!..), and Vegas is setting the line accordingly. 6 WR's haven't been picked in a first round since 2009. 5 WR's were picked in the incredibly loaded 2014, and then in the significantly less loaded 2015 class. I see 4 almost certain locks to go in the 2020 1st (Jeudy/Ruggs/Lamb/Jefferson). Following the other odds for 2020 NFL Draft - First Wide Receiver Drafted;Higgins is likely to go in the first as well. That leaves at least one of Mims, Aiyuk, Raegor, Shenault, Hamler is likely to see themselves sneak in to the end of the 1st for a total of 6 1st Round Wide Receivers. With an outside chance we see 7 or 8 Receivers in the top 32. Player Props my pick in Bold Jerry Jeudy O/U 11.5 (-155/+115) Most likely drafted with picks 10-15 Teams with those picks (CLE, NYJ, LV, SF, TB, DEN) Easy to mock the best wide receiver to the WR needy NYJ's at pick 11. However, Vegas seems to think it is more likely that he goes after pick 11. Las Vegas is also in desperate need for elite WR's, and if the Jets somehow actually do pass here. The Las Vegas Raiders will happily take the best one. Ceedee Lamb O/U 12.5 (-130/-110) Most likely drafted with picks 10-15 Teams with those picks (CLE, NYJ, LV, SF, TB, DEN) San Francisco has built its offense around people that play fast with the ball in their hands. Ceedee Lamb has consistently looked electric after the catch, and I think they'd love to add him at this position. Henry Ruggs O/U 14.5 (-140/EVEN) Most likely drafted with picks 13-20 Teams with these picks (SF, TB, DEN, ATL, DAL, MIA, LV, JAC) Extremely unoriginal, as every mock draft ever has Denver picking Ruggs here. But Vegas seems to agree this is a real possibility. Justin Jefferson O/U 21.5 (-130/-110) Most likely drafted with picks 20-25 Teams with these picks (JAC, PHI, MIN, NE, NO, MIN) Odds don't agree with the Eagles taking Jefferson here, but I think they'd be crazy to pass up his talent. If they do pass there's zero chance that the Vikings also pass. Jalen Raegor O/U 32.5 (-200/+150) Most likely drafted with picks 30-38 Teams with these picks (GB, SF, KC, IND, DET, NYG, LAC, CAR) Marvin Jones is on the wrong side of 30. This looks like a great landing spot for a young wide receiver to pair up with Golladay. While most people seem to think Detroit trades out of the #3 overall pick. Tua at 3, and Raegor at 35 would be an exciting restart for a team who's best days are behind them. Brandon Aiyuk O/U 32.5 (-290/+190)Most likely drafted with picks 31-40 Teams with those picks (SF, KC, IND, DET, NYG, LAC, CAR, MIA, HOU) Daniel Jones seems to have the "it", and surrounding him with offensive talent that isn't a huge injury risk Tee Higgins O/U 32.5 (+125/-165) Most likely drafted 28-35 Teams with those picks (BAL, TEN, GB, SF, KC, CIN, IND, DET) Vegas thinks that Higgins goes in the 1st 60% of the time. I personally don't see it. With the first pick of the 2nd round though Cincinnati can get a AJ Green Clone to seamlessly replace the actual AJ Green. Denzel Mims O/U 33.5 (+130/-170) Most likely drafted with picks 29-36 Teams with those picks (TEN, GB, SF, KC, CIN, IND, DET, NYG) Mims has absolutely crushed this offseason. If Green bay see's he's available there I think they take him. Laviska Shenault O/U 32.5 (-300/+200) Most likely drafted with picks 31-40 Teams with those picks (SF, KC, IND, DET, NYG, LAC, CAR, MIA, HOU) Injury risk is gonna kill Shenault. Teams are not able to have their doctors check him out due to the Covid-19 Pandemic. Houston just let Hopkins go for a pack of peanuts, and look to hit big on a sliding Shenault.
Bovada Player Prop Bet Parlay for Multiple Players on Different NFL teams
Is there anyway I can make a parlay of prop bets on multiple players from multiple teams in the NFL this Sunday? When I open props it gives me the option to build a parlay but only on props from that game.
Is it possible for me to have a shortcut take me to a website and log me in? For example I have a shortcut that takes me to the Bovada NFL Game Lines. But the in order to make bets I will then need to login. Here is the shortcut it’s just two basic steps right now. Thanks for any help https://www.icloud.com/shortcuts/4146d2512b534adf9e9c5fe015d5d51f
So there are a lot of games I'm staying away from, but there is A LOT of really good value and forgiving spreads this week. KC Chiefs (-3.5 [-115]) Vs. Jacksonville (+3.5 [-105]) I cant see the Chiefs losing this one, and with -3.5 and that offense? Easy money, not a lot of money, but easy money. LA Rams (-2.0 [-110]) Vs. Carolina Panthers. (+2.0 [-110]) This is one of my upsets of the week. I am a panthers fan and I think we can get it done, feel free to roast me for this pick but our O-Line is legendary this year and as long as we take control of the game we can get it done. Washington Redskins (+10.5 [-115]) Vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5 [-105]) I think this spread is ridiculous, Washington plays in a lot of low scoring games and I could definitely see them covering the spread, Washington is not that bad a football team, not even the worst in their division. Detroit Lions (-3.0 [EVEN]) Vs. Arizona Cardinals (+3.0 [-120]) Best value bet of the week, the Lions have a good team and the best player on that cardinals team is a college player with Patrick Peterson being suspended. SF 49ers (+1 [-105]) Vs. Tampa Bay Bucs (-1 [-115]) the Niners here are the clear choice. Tampa bay is a joke of a team. Yeah they have some offensive pieces but Jamis Winston is on his way out and they have one of the worst defenses in football. The Niners are a more complete team. Denver Broncos (-2.5 [-110]) Vs Oakland Raiders (+2.5 [-110) Betting against the Raiders will be the most profitable venture in all of sports bets this year. I dont think I need to say much more on that. Thanks for taking time to read my post have a great sunday. EDIT: I did not mention that I took Green Bay to beat the Bears, but the game came and went when I posted this, so it didnt hold much merit, if Denver doesnt cover this week I will be at 4-7 against the spread for this week which, for week 1, isnt bad. Plus I had more money on the GB-CHI game than the ones I have listed here. It is always smart to diversify your picks from your absolute locks (KC over JAX) to your good feeling value picks (WASH over PHI).
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